Our model: Animal Charity Evaluators's analysis plus your assumptions and our accounting adjustments (salary sacrifice, credit for shared outcomes).

157× as much good per dollar as GiveDirectly · rank 1 of 3

Joint low 0.25×, joint high 8,643×. In its own unit: 614 suffering-adjusted days averted per dollar. Change your assumptions

  • Joint low to joint high spans 34,216×.
  • 84% of the uncertainty comes from judgment calls and shared assumptions.
  • 10 inputs on the result's path have no range, so they add no uncertainty here.
  • Source analysis is 19 months old.

The evaluation

Summary

Sinergia Animal campaigns for farmed animals in Latin America and Southeast Asia. ACE recommended it in 2025. ACE’s cost-effectiveness analysis covers three programs, about 84% of programme spending, and works out to 829 suffering-adjusted days (SADs) averted per dollar. Most of that comes from cage-free egg commitments.

Our model gives 614 SADs per dollar you give, after counting staff salary sacrifice as an in-kind donation. Converted with our default exchange rates, that is about 157 times GiveDirectly (209× in ACE’s model). The range runs from 0.25× to over 8,000×. Treat the headline as an order of magnitude that depends on your values, not a measurement.

What the charity does

  • Cage-free campaigns: pressure food companies to stop buying eggs from caged hens. ACE counts 39 commitments won in 2023, covering about 21 million hens a year.
  • Pig welfare campaigns: 10 Brazilian pork producers committed to group housing for sows and to ending some piglet mutilations.
  • Nourishing Tomorrow: schools and other institutions in Argentina, Colombia and Indonesia replace some meat meals with plant-based ones, about one million meals so far.
  • Work with financial institutions (unmodelled): the remaining ~16% of programme spending. ACE didn’t model it, and we leave it unmodelled rather than assume it is worthless or as good as the rest.

How the impact happens

A company commits, then (if it follows through) changes its supply, then hens or pigs live with less suffering for as long as the policy holds before it would have happened anyway. Each step is a discount:

  1. Credit: what share of the commitment is Sinergia’s (38% for cage-free, 70% for pigs).
  2. Compliance: what share of companies keep their pledge (about 53% cage-free, 58% pigs).
  3. Duration: how long the change lasts (4 to 36 years, best guess 15).

ACE converts improved animal lives into SADs using Ambitious Impact’s estimates of suffering per animal under each housing system. Those estimates already weight each species by its welfare range relative to humans.

How the model works

We rebuild ACE’s sheet row by row: hens credited per year, discounted over the commitment’s lifetime at 4%, times compliance, times SADs averted per hen. The pig program uses ACE’s per-producer totals, and meat reduction uses ACE’s meals-to-SADs estimate. Costs are each program’s spending, scaled to Sinergia’s updated budget. The site reproduces all 12 of ACE’s intermediate figures exactly.

What drives the result

Comparing animals with people is where the uncertainty lives. The four biggest levers are:

  • Extra weight on animal suffering (your value judgment): 8× to 157×.
  • Human DALYs per suffering-adjusted day: 39× to 386×. AIM publishes no official rate, so this is our least grounded number.
  • Units of value per DALY: 79× to 314×.
  • Years the commitments last: 78× to 239×. This is the biggest factual uncertainty, from Rethink Priorities’ wide interval.

Even at the low end of each of these alone, Sinergia stays above GiveDirectly. All of them at once can push it below.

Where we differ from ACE

  • Salary sacrifice (on by default). Campaign work is mostly people, and campaigners could earn far more in corporate roles. We guess staff are 65% of cost and take a 35% pay cut. That makes the forgone salary 35% of cash spending, and cuts the impact credited to each donated dollar by about a quarter. Both numbers are guesses with wide ranges.
  • Credit for shared outcomes (shared by default, as ACE does). Switch to full credit and the cage-free and pig results count every hen and pig covered, not Sinergia’s share. That raises the result to about 366× GiveDirectly.

Biggest uncertainties

  • ACE notes its SADs values have since been updated; this model uses the values from the evaluation.
  • Commitments are counted when made. Compliance rates come from trackers of other companies, not Sinergia’s.
  • The pig program’s years of impact and SADs per animal are fixed inside ACE’s producer sheet, so our range understates their uncertainty.
  • Meat reduction is a small part of the result; ACE calls its SADs-per-meal figures rough.

What isn’t modelled

The financial-institutions program, room for more funding, organisational strength, and any backlash or precedent effects of campaigns. ACE’s review covers several of these qualitatively.

Sources

What drives this result

Each bar moves one input from the low to the high end of its range, holding the rest at their central values. Log scale, as a multiple of GiveDirectly. Dashed line: central estimate.

observed estimate judgment or shared assumption

Shows the 8 inputs that move the result most. Ranges come from the source where it gives them; explainers say when a range is ours. Source: charityevals model of Animal Charity Evaluators, Sinergia Animal – 2025 Recommended Charity.

The model, row by row

Click any row for its explanation, source and formula. Formulas link to the rows they use. Values update with your assumptions.

RowValueKind

Cage-free campaigns

Commitments by 39 food companies to stop buying eggs from caged hens. Benefits last as long as commitments are honoured, discounted for other groups' share of the credit and for companies that renege.

39Observed
20,685,884Estimate
7,864,022Estimate
38%Calculated
7,864,022Calculated
154 – 36Estimate
90,932,653Calculated
53.4%37.9% – 68.9%Estimate
48,573,256Calculated
17.5Estimate
849,546,246Calculated

Institutional meat reduction

Nourishing Tomorrow: schools and other institutions in Argentina, Colombia and Indonesia replacing some meat meals. ACE assumes each commitment lasts a single year, likely an underestimate.

997,510Observed
900,20386,972 – 1,713,434Estimate

Pig welfare campaigns

Commitments by 10 Brazilian pork producers to end gestation crates and some piglet mutilations.

713,756,753Estimate
70%Estimate
499,629,727Calculated
57.5%50% – 65%Observed
287,287,093Calculated

Costs

Each program's annual spending, scaled up by ACE to Sinergia's newer total budget.

$1.34MObserved
$1.58MObserved
1.17×Calculated
$773,457Observed
$248,499Observed
$146,413Observed
$908,541Calculated
$291,899Calculated
$171,984Calculated
$1.37MCalculated

Bottom line

Suffering averted per dollar across the three modelled programs. The remaining ~16% of programme spending (work with financial institutions) is unmodelled, not assumed to be zero or equal.

935Calculated
3.08Calculated
1,670Calculated
829Calculated

Your dollar's share

charityevals adjustments on top of ACE's model.

charityevals65%50% – 80%Judgment
charityevals35%15% – 55%Judgment
$480,349Calculated
74.1%Calculated
614Calculated